MICROBIOLOGY AND IMMUNOLOGY ON-LINE |
From UNAIDS
In 2007, UNAIDS lowered the prevalence of the prevalence of HIV infection around the world. Why?
What is responsible for the downward revision in prevalence of 6.3 million?
The reduction of 6.3 million is
largely due to improved and expanded surveillance, data collection and
methodologies, which have allowed UNAIDS and WHO to present a more detailed and
accurate picture of the global AIDS epidemic.
Roughly 70% of the difference is explained by reductions in HIV prevalence in
India (which alone accounts for approximately half the revision) and several
sub-Saharan African countries, including Nigeria, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Kenya
and Angola. The remaining 30% of revisions mostly occurred in a number of
sub-Saharan African countries. A decrease in incidence (the number of new HIV
infections) may also be a factor, but is currently difficult to quantify.
Information from population-based surveys has been used to inform the
adjustments in all countries. However, in some countries, notably Zimbabwe, Cote
D'Ivoire and Kenya, the reduction in HIV prevalence is mostly due to actual
declines, rather than statistical corrections.